Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.378503 0.491419 0.614276 0.756027 0.913388 1.081263 1.272502
2025-07-27 0.248617 0.403862 0.590170 0.821355 1.093147 1.396499 1.755199
2025-08-03 0.180134 0.352436 0.575196 0.865344 1.218511 1.622849 2.110536
2025-08-10 0.119076 0.292940 0.537407 0.871751 1.292148 1.784460 2.388415
2025-08-17 0.061938 0.217907 0.464185 0.821414 1.287143 1.845754 2.543016
2025-08-24 0.024661 0.154480 0.393643 0.764117 1.265333 1.880620 2.661170
2025-08-31 0.008381 0.117881 0.355125 0.744188 1.286333 1.963711 2.833355
2025-09-07 0.002114 0.097312 0.338370 0.752191 1.341732 2.087773 3.053681
2025-09-14 NaN 0.075429 0.313621 0.744887 1.374304 2.181609 3.236017
2025-09-21 NaN 0.054295 0.283686 0.725792 1.388244 2.250058 3.385861
2025-09-28 NaN 0.051195 0.292449 0.768147 1.487461 2.427745 3.670699
2025-10-05 NaN 0.050510 0.306646 0.819359 1.599224 2.621788 3.976093
2025-10-12 NaN 0.046486 0.313235 0.860686 1.701342 2.809028 4.280533
2025-10-19 NaN 0.048896 0.337337 0.932563 1.848464 3.056563 4.662504
2025-10-26 NaN 0.046181 0.346732 0.979010 1.958854 3.255966 4.984065
2025-11-02 NaN 0.036535 0.333783 0.985997 2.011974 3.380366 5.211786
2025-11-09 NaN 0.019744 0.288510 0.932192 1.974397 3.384080 5.286755
2025-11-16 NaN 0.007653 0.242527 0.870880 1.922006 3.365588 5.331590
2025-11-23 NaN 0.002995 0.219493 0.849515 1.927203 3.422220 5.470151
2025-11-30 NaN 0.001372 0.212048 0.858096 1.977577 3.539447 5.685944
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000177 0.197388 0.850265 2.001809 3.620770 5.855414
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.177891 0.829779 2.005070 3.672764 5.986632
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.188207 0.875195 2.112730 3.868134 6.303226